The Sustainable Aviation Fuel market is estimated to be valued at US$ 740.76 Mn in 2023 and is expected to exhibit a CAGR of 61.% over the forecast period 2023 to 2030, as highlighted in a new report published by Coherent Market Insights.
Market Overview:
Sustainable aviation fuel is a type of biofuel that could potentially replace conventional jet fuel on a scale large enough to significantly lower greenhouse gas emissions from air travel. Sustainable aviation fuel is produced from various feedstock like plant oils, waste fats and oils. It can reduce greenhouse gas emissions by up to 80% compared to conventional jet fuel over the lifecycle. Many airlines and airports are experimenting with blending sustainable aviation fuels into aircraft to help reduce carbon footprints.
Market Dynamics:
Stringent emission regulations and airline initiatives to reduce carbon footprint are driving the demand for sustainable aviation fuel. Air transport organizations like IATA have set ambitious targets of getting to net zero carbon emissions by 2050 and sustainable aviation fuels are seen as key enablers to achieve those targets. For example, the European Union has imposed caps on carbon emissions from 2024 which will pressure aviation industry to reduce dependence on fossil fuels. Additionally, many major airlines have committed to gradual replacement of petroleum-based jet fuel with bio-based sustainable aviation fuel. For instance, United Airlines aims to replace 10% of its conventional jet fuel with sustainable aviation fuel by 2030.
SWOT Analysis
Strength: The sustainable aviation fuel has several environmental benefits over conventional jet fuel. It emit 50-80% lower greenhouse gas emissions over its lifecycle. It can reduce dependence on fossil fuels. Many countries are offering subsidies and tax credits to produce sustainable aviation fuel which is driving its adoption.
Weakness: Sustainable aviation fuel is currently more expensive to produce than conventional jet fuel. Traditional production methods for bio-jet fuel such as hydrotreated esters and fatty acids requires refining and processing which increases costs. Limited production capabilities also contributes to higher costs.
Opportunity: Stringent climate change policies and emission reduction targets across aviation industry provide major growth opportunity. Adoption of sustainable aviation fuel allows airlines to achieve emission goals and claim carbon credits which is lucrative. Technological advancements are lowering production costs which will increase feasibility.
Threats: Uncertainty over crude oil prices impact feedstock costs and economic viability. Reliance on limited feedstock sources makes supply unpredictable. Lack of infrastructure for distribution is also challenging.
Key Takeaways
The global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market is expected to witness high growth, exhibiting CAGR of 61.% over the forecast period, due to increasing climate change awareness and emission reduction regulations. Growing focus on lowering carbon footprint of aviation industry is driving demand.
Regional analysis: North America dominated the global sustainable aviation fuel market in 2023 and is expected to grow at a high CAGR during the forecast period. Presence of major aviation fuel producers like Neste and Gevo supports regional growth. High investment in R&D of green technologies further stimulates market. Asia Pacific is expected to be the fastest growing market fueled by government incentives and initiatives in emerging countries like China and India.
Key players operating in the sustainable aviation fuel market are Neste, AEMETIS INC., Gevo, Shell PLC, Lanza Jet, and Sky NRG. These players are focusing on increasing production capacities and developing innovative technologies to reduce costs. Strategic collaborations are helping key players to strengthen distribution network and market presence.
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