Tampa Bay has struggled to close out games since beating Dallas and New Orleans during the first two weeks of the season. The Buccaneers held a 21-0 lead against Atlanta last week before giving up 15 consecutive points down the stretch, leading to a backdoor cover for the Falcons. Tampa Bay is a 9.5-point favorite against Pittsburgh on Sunday according to the latest Week 6 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Should you stay away from the Buccaneers when you place your Week 6 NFL bets?Elsewhere on the Week 6 , Kansas City is a 2.5-point home underdog against Buffalo ( ) in the latest spreads. Dale Hunter Jersey All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and .The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-106 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. .Top Week 6 NFL predictionsOne of the model's strongest Week 6 NFL picks is that the (+5.5) cover the spread at home against the Ravens. New York is 4-1 against the spread, which is the second-best mark in the NFL, and 3-0 ATS as an underdog. On the other hand, Baltimore is just 2-2 against the spread as a favorite.The model has the Giants' pounding out 87 yards on the ground with another 35 through the air. It also has other Giants producing another 50 rushing yards, with the team averaging nearly 5.0 yards per carry. New York is projected to cover in well over 50% of simulations, with the Under (45) hitting more than 50% of the time. . Another one of its Week 6 NFL predictions: Matt Niskanen Jersey The (-7.5) cover at home against the in almost 60% of simulations. Green Bay's flight home from London got a lot longer after the Packers blew a 17-3 lead in a 27-22 lo s to the Giants last Sunday. Green Bay was on a three-game Michal Kempny Jersey winning streak heading into that matchup, beating the , Buccaneers and Patriots.The Packers will be motivated to bounce back at home, where they have gone 16-3 in their last 19 games. New York has lost 12 of its last 18 games overall dating back to last season, and the Jets are in a letdown spot after picking up consecutive wins over Pittsburgh and Miami. Their blowout win over the Dolphins came against a third-string quarterback. The Packers are covering the spread well over 50% of the time. .How to make Week 6 NFL picksThe model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule, and it also says Super Bowl contender goes down hard. . So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then , and find out.Week 6 NFL odds, lines, spreadsSunday, Oct. 16 at (+4.5, 45) Featured Game | Atlanta Falcons vs. San Francisco 49ers Moneyline Spread Total ATL SF at (-2.5, 43) Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots Moneyline Spread Total CLE NE Jets at Packers (-7.5, 45.5) Featured Game | Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets Moneyline Spread Total GB NYJ at (-2.5, 42) Featured Game | Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline Spread Total IND JAC at (+3, 45) Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings Brendan Leipsic Men Jersey Moneyline Spread Total MIA MIN at (+2.5, 43) Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Cincinnati Bengals Moneyline Spread Total NO CIN at Giants (+5.5, 45) Featured Game | New York Giants vs. Baltimore Ravens Moneyline Spread Total NYG BAL at (+9.5, 46) Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline Spread Total PIT TB at (-10, 41.5) Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers Moneyline Spread Total LAR CAR at (+2.5, 50.5) Featured Game | Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Moneyline Spread Total SEA ARI at (+2.5, 54) Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Moneyline Spread Total KC BUF at (-6.5, 42) Featured Game | Philadelphia Taylor Chorney Men Jersey Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Moneyline Spread Total PHI DAL Monday, Oct. 17 at (-4.5, 45.5) Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Moneyline Spread Total LAC DEN